Bill Gate’s latest investment that tries to solve a major problem

In a recent blog, we reported that Bill Gates invested in a company, C16 Biosciences Inc.,that plans to produce palm oil using fermentation process.  The company aims to reduce the need to reduce the impact on clearing tropical forests to plant oil palms.

It is reported by The Times, London on June 24th, 2020, that Bill Gates has made an investment in a new venture that aims to solve another global problem. He has put his money in a start-up hopes to develop artificial breast milk to reduce the carbon footprint of mothers who choose not to breastfeed.

Estimates suggest that at least 10 per cent of the world dairy market, a major source of greenhouse gases, is used to produce baby formula milk. The company, Biomilq, an American company, has provided a proof of concept top show the feasibility of its plan. It hopes to produce breast milk artificially from cultured human  mammary epithelial cells in about five years (mammary epithelial cells are cells in the thin layer of of tissue that coat and lines the surface of the milk ducts in the breast)

This would be an alternative to formula milk. The firm has already shown that the process can produce lactose and casein, to components of human breast milk. Biomilq is being assisted by an investment of US$3.5 million, mostly from a fund set up by Bill Gates. The idea of growing breast milk in a laboratory is likely to be less alien to the public after the popularity of lab-grown meat.

Biomilq was founded by Michelle Egger and Leila Strickland. Ms Egger was a food scientist, while Ms Strickland was a cell biologist.

Breast feeding is widely touted for its health benefits for babies but many mothers do not have that option. Formula milk is the normal alternative for these mothers. This can cause problems, however, for some children’s digestive systems because it relies on cow’s milk or soy rather than human proteins. Biomilq aims to create something that is as digestible as human breast milk but have a smaller environmental impact than dairy.

The investment by Bill Gates into Biomilq was made through Breakthrough Energy Ventures, set up to focus on climate change. 

About Breakthrough Energy Ventures

According to Quartz, the digital business news website (www.qz.com, noted by its senior reporter,  Ashkat Rathi on August 26, 2019, Breakthrough Energy Ventures (BEV) is a US$1 billion fund with the aims to fund those technologies that fight climate change.

To be eligible for BEV, a start-up needs to showcase a scientifically sound technology that has the potential to reduce annual global greenhouse-gas emission by at least 500 million MT. Global emissions currently measure about 40 billion MT per year.

Start-up that have these technologies usually struggle to scale, either because the engineering challenge is too big or the business environment to support the companies doesn’t exist. These companies need patient capital. BEV is fine if its investments don’t provide a return for up to 20 years. In September, 2018, Quartz revealed the first nine investments made by BEV. It included three start-ups building energy-storage technologies, two using microbes to cut emissions in agriculture products, and one each working on low-carbon cement, cheap geothermal, nuclear fusion, and a solar-powered technology to collect water from the air. Eight were based in the US and one in Canada.    

In the 12 months since the last tranche, of investments, BEV has found 10 more companies that it thinks could help the world cut emissions drastically.

  1. Arnergy: A Nigerian start-up  that deploys solar-power solutions for small businesses to provide reliable electricity.
  2. Baseload Capital: A specialized investment entity  based in Sweden that funds the deployment of technology developed by start-up Climeon, which uses waste heat to generate power.
  3. Boston Metal: A company based in Boston, US, that uses electricity, instead of coke, to convert iron ore into iron.  
  4. Kobold Metals: A company based in San Francisco, US, that uses artificial intelligence to accelerate the search from ethical sources of the metals, like Cobalt, needed to make lithium-ion batteries.
  5. Max: A Nigerian ride-sharing app that deploys two-wheeled motorcycles to move people in cities more safely. BEV’s money will help lower emissions by pushing for the electrician of Max’s vehicle fleet.
  6. Malta: A Boston-based start-up that has developed a way to store renewable electricity renewable energy in the form of heat and cold.
  7. Motif: A  Boston-based start-up that develops low-carbon alternatives for everyday food ingredients.
  8. Sierra Energy: A start-up spun out of University of California, Davis, US, that uses oxygen and steam to break down waste into gases, which can be used to make synthetic fuel. The process leaves behind solid sorb metals that can be safely discarded or re-used
  9. SparkMeter: A US-based start-up with a Kenyan office that develops smart meters to grow reliable access to electricity in poor countries.
  10. Sustainable Bioproducts: A Chicago-based start-up whose fermentation technology creates low-carbon proteins that can be used as nutrients for foods.

Breakthrough Energy Venture is the investment arm of Breakthrough Venture, an entity established in 2015 by Bill Gates and a coalition of private investors concerned about the impact of accelerating climate change (www.b-t.energy). The board member s and investors include prominent individuals such as follows:

  1. Mukesh Ambani: Investor
  2. John Arnold: Board member
  3. Jeff Bezos: Investor
  4. HRH Prince Alwaleed Talal: Investor
  5.  Michael Bloomberg: Investor
  6. Richard Branson: Investor
  7. Ray Dalio: Investor
  8. John Doerr: Board member
  9. Bill Gates: Chair of the Board
  10. Reid Hoffman: Investor
  11. Chris Hohn: Investor
  12. Vinod Khosla: Board member
  13. Jack Ma: Board member
  14. Dustin Maskovitz and Cari Tuna: Investor
  15. Patrice Motsepe: Investor
  16. Xavier Niel: Investor
  17. Hasso Palttner: Investor
  18. Julian Robertson: Investor
  19. David Rubenstein: Investor
  20. Nat Simons and Laura Baxter- Simons: Investor
  21. Masayoshi Son: Investor
  22. Ms Zhang Xin and Mr Pan Shiyi: Investor    

Samsung is top of the class when it comes to patents

The company owns the most number of patents

Samsung is becoming part of our life; Samsung smartphones, Samsung television, Samsung monitor and Samsung refrigerator. It is not surprising this Korean company is a leader in high technology fields as it has the largest portfolio of active families of patents, according to ificlaims.com. This top position had been held by IBM, the American computer company, for almost 27 years. The ificlaims.com ranks 250 parent companies by active patents they own. The holdings of subsidiaries are included in the parent company’s holding. The top 100 companies are listed below.

RankUltimate ownerActive families Country
1Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd76,638South Korea
2International Business Machine Corp37,304US
3Canon Inc35,724Japan
4General Electric Co30,010US
5Microsoft Corp 29,824US
6Robert Bosch 28,285Germany
7Panasonic Corp27,298Japan
8Siemens 25,320Germany
9Intel Corp24,628US
10LG Electronic Inc 23,043South Korea
11Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. Ltd 21,522Taiwan
12Qualcomm Inc21,255US
13Sony Corp21,167Japan
14Alphabet Inc21,084US
15Toyota Motor Corp20,814Japan
16Nokia Oyj20,492Finland
17Fujifilm Holdings Corp18,538Japan
18General Motors Co17,778US
19Fujitsu Ltd17,564Japan
20Hitachi Ltd17,329Japan
21Ford Motor Co16,942US
22United Technologies Corp 16,926US
23Volkswagen 16,470Germany
24Broadcom Inc15,135US
25Honda Motor Co Ltd15,072Japan
26Ericsson AB14,878Sweden
27Apple Inc14,849US
28Seiko Epson Corp 14,377Japan
29Huawei 14,315China
30Toshiba Corp14,201Japan
31Honeywell International Inc13,892US
32HP Inc13,673US
33Ricoh Co Ltd 13,321Japan
34Dell Technologies Inc13,313US
35Oracle Corp13,254US
36Texas Instruments Inc13,253US
37Denso Corp13,120Japan
38Mitsubishi Electric Corp13,062Japan
39TSMC Ltd12,792Taiwan
40Philips NV 12,474Netherlands
41Medtronic PLC12,400US
42Johnson and Johnson 12,226US
43Cisco Systems Inc 11,498US
44Continental AG11,195Germany
45BASF SE10,987Germany
46Boeing Co 10,897US
47Brother Industries Ltd10,163Japan
48NEC Corp10,152Japan
49Infineon Technologies AG9,854Germany
50Airbus SE9,741France
51Bayer AG9,654Germany
52Amazon com Inc9,455US
53GlobalFoundries Inc9,426US
54BlackBerry Ltd9,379Canada
55NXP Semiconductor BV9,328US/Netherlands
56Xerox Holdings Corp9,276US
57Procter and Gamble Co8,950US
58Western Digital Corp 8,927US
59Valeo SA8,913France
60Kyocera Corp8,769Japan
61STMicroelectronics NV8,630Switzerland
62LG Display Co Ltd8,523South Korea
63Hyundai Moro Co8,495South Korea
64Safran SA8,332France
653M Co8,306US
66Hewlet Packard Enterprise Co8,125US
67AT&T Inc8,106US
68SK Hynix Inc7,934South Korea
69Olympus Corp7,924Japan
70Micron Technology Inc7,488US
71National Research Council of Science and Technology 7,226South Korea
72Schlumberger Ltd 7,412US
73Konica Minolta Inc7,366Japan
74BOE Technology Group Co Ltd7,236Japan
75Renesas Electronics Corp7,002Japan
76Corteva Inc6,856US
77Nike Inc6,787US
78Halliburton Co6,638US
79Dow Inc6,532US
80Boston Scientific Corp6,519US
81Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd6,466Japan
82Lenovo Group Ltd6,379China
83Abbot Laboratories6,265US
84CEA 6,120France
85Murata Manufacturing Co Ltd 6,116Japan
86Nissan Motor Co Ltd6,096Japan
87Peugeot SA6,046France
88TDK Corp5,939Japan
89Roche Holdings AG5,732Switzerland
90Verizon Communications Inc 5,656US
91Caterpillar Inc5,622US
92Semiconductor Energy Laboratory Ltd5,586Japan
93Thales SA 5,500France
94Kioxia Corp5,285Japan
95Schaeffler AG 5,172Germany
96ZF Friedrichshafen AG5,152Germany
97LOreal SA5,116France
98Applied Materials Inc5,079US
99TCL Corp4,886China
100BMW AG4,855Germany

Patent filing since 1883

According to WIPO (World Intellectual Property Organization) World Intellectual Property Indicators 2019 Report, from 1883 to 1963, the patent office of the US was the leading office for world filing. Application numbers in Japan and the US were stable until the early 1970s, when Japan began to see rapid growth—a pattern also observed for the US from the 1980s onward. Among the top five offices, Japan surpassed the US in 1968 and maintained the top position until 2005. Since the early 2000s, however, the number of applications filed in Japan has followed a downward trend. Both the EPO (European Patent Office) and South Korea have seen increases each year since the early 1980s, as has China since 1995. China surpassed the EPO and South Korea in 2010, Japan in 2010 and the US in 2011— and now receives the largest number of application worldwide. This also coincides with the emergence of Chinese companies to develop their own technologies, which is led by Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.

South Korea continues to file the highest number of patents per unit of GDP

Variations in patenting activity across countries reflect differences in their size and the structure of their economies. It is therefore informative to examine resident patent activity with regards to population, research and development, gross domestic product 9GDP) and other variables.

With 8,561 patent applications per unit of US$100 billion GDP, South Korea continued to file the largest number of patent applications. China (6,183) had the second largest ratio in 2018, followed by Japan (5,101), Germany (1,924) and Switzerland (1,831). However, over the past 11 years, the gap between South Korea and China has narrowed considerably, reflecting the strong growth in resident applications in China, with resident application per unit of GDP increasing from 1,854 in 2008 to 6,183 in 2018.

Focus areas of patent application by leading companies

According to the World Intellectual Property Indicator 2019 Report, the leading companies submitted patent applications from 2014 to 2016 were in technology fields as follows:

Rank Company Technology fields
1 Samsung Telecommunication, digital communication, computer technology, semiconductors, optics and electrical machinery, apparatus and energy
2 IBM Digital communication, computer technology, IT method for management semiconductor and audio-visual technology
3 Canon Audio-visual technology, computer technology, optics, telecommunication, semiconductors,  measurement and textile and paper machines
6 Robert Bosch Transport, engines and turbines, machine tools, control, measurement, computer technology and digital communication
15 Toyota Motor Corp Engines, pumps and turbines, mechanical elements transport, computer technology, semiconductors,  measurement and control
29 Huawei Technologies Audio-visual technology, digital communication, telecommunication, computer technology and measurement and optics
     

Universities and PROs in Korea are active applicants of patent in 2014 to 2016 

The South Korean universities and PROs (public research organizations) are also active applicants of patents. The list of leading universities and PROs is shown below.

No University or PRO Technology fields
1 AIST (National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology), Japan Semiconductor, measurement organic fine chemistry and biotechnology and electrical machinery, apparatus and energy
2 CEA, France Computer technology, semiconductor thermal processes and apparatus and telecommunication
3 CNRS, France Electrical machinery, apparatus and energy, computer technology, semiconductors, measurement analysis of biological materials, medical technology, organic fine chemistry, medical technology biotechnology and pharmaceuticals
4 DLR, Germany Measurement, control, thermal processes and apparatus, handling, engines, pumps and turbines and transport
5 Fraunhofer, Germany   Computer technology, optics, digital communication, semiconductor, measurement, and machine tools  
6 Harbin Institute of Technology (China)  Electrical machinery, apparatus and energy, computer technology, measurement and materials and metallurgy and environmental technology
7 KAIST, South Korea Computer technology, digital communication telecommunication, measurement and optics
8 Korea Electronics and Telecomm Telecommunication, digital communication, audio-visual technology computer technology and IT methods for management
9 MIT, US Measurement, medical technology, biotechnology, pharmaceutical computer technology and electrical machinery, apparatus and energy
10 Tokyo University, Japan Biotechnology, pharmaceuticals, measurement computer technology and electrical machinery, apparatus and energy 
11 University of California, US Medical technology, biotechnology, pharmaceuticals, organic fine chemistry measurement, computer technology and electrical machinery,  apparatus and energy.
12 Zhejiang University, China Measurement, biotechnology, computer technology materials and metallurgy and electrical machinery, apparatus and energy

Our comments

It is noted that South Korea’s leading companies such as Samsung, Hyundai and LG have made technological advances which are incorporated into their products. Their progress has been supported by universities and PROs.

China is also progressing up the technological ladder, which is led by Huawei. Taiwan has several companies which possess advanced semiconductor technologies, which is led by TSMC.

Our country, Malaysia, has not been successful in creating companies that are involved in advanced technology fields. Malaysian government’s effort to nurture domestic technology companies did not succeed due to a number of factors.

Malaysia is a leading producer of palm oil as well as a significant producer of oil and gas. Unlike Taiwan and South Korea, Malaysian companies are happy to be involved in oil palm plantations that generate regular profits through increased acreage.

The current turmoil in the oil industry and low prices of palm oil could spur a change in the economic development strategies through high technology industries involving digital and computer technologies. Looking at the advances made by Asian countries like South Korea, Taiwan and China, the challenge of Malaysia to catch-up with these countries is very enormous.

The expert’s recommendation: here’s what to do to boost your immune system

The deadly Covid -19 virus

Last week my wife related to me that a not-so-old gentleman was asking for vitamin C in our local pharmacy. The pharmacist told him that the stocks of vitamin pills have run out. She added that the stocks she ordered was also not sure when they would be delivered.  

Last weekend, my university, Azman Hashim International School of Business cancelled face-to-face classes. I need to teach my DBA students via online method using Skype.

Everyone knows the culprit is Covid-19.

I noted an article by Peta Bee in the Health Section of The Times London today. She interviewed an expert on immunology, Dr Jenna Macciochi, and a lecturer at the University of Sussex.  The following is an extract of the interview.     

If Dr Jenna Macciochi’s behaviour is a barometer of how wary we should be about the immediate threat of coronavirus, it is reassuring that we meet in a busy café and she greets me warmly — although not quite with a shake of hands.

Beyond that, her guard is clearly raised. She says that she has travelled by train from Brighton, a journey she would rather not have made, and that she is mindful of every situation in which she finds herself interacting with others. “I am taking great care not to go anywhere unnecessarily,” she says. “I’m being extremely careful and it goes without saying that I’m stringent about washing my hands.”

If we listen to anyone about the pandemic, perhaps it should be Macciochi. She has an impressive scientific CV; a lecturer in immunology at the University of Sussex, she previously worked at Imperial College London and is a contributing editor of scientific journals including the Annals of Advanced Biomedical Sciences. Her new book, Immunity — The Science of Staying Well, delves into everything related to our immune system and what we need to do to protect ourselves against infection. Its publication is timely — not even she predicted a pandemic of these proportions coming.

“Once real fear was raised in China, it was a case of gathering data and watching it evolve,” she says. “But it’s a brand new virus, and while we can look to others from the same family for clues, ultimately we don’t know what’s going to happen.”

Macciochi, 38, and the mother of five-year-old twins, says that she has abandoned arrangements to visit her parents, both in their seventies, out of a desire to protect them. “There’s a lot of people saying, ‘Oh, I’ll be fine,’ because they are relatively healthy and might get only mild symptoms anyway,” she says. “But we seem to be missing the fact that it’s the vulnerable people we need to protect and the transition we need to contain.”

How we do that does not come in the form of a manual. Macciochi is reluctant to suggest that we can “boost” our immune systems through healthy living — “it’s a phrase that is too often misused by the wellness industry” — but says that we can raise our personal protection in many ways. Here she tackles the big questions about protecting ourselves from coronavirus.

I never get colds, so won’t I be OK?
“We are genetically and immunologically unique. But that is by design because if we were all immunologically identical, we would react to the same infection in the same way and our species would die out. Even members of the same family react differently to different immune system threats. But while some people do claim never to get cold and flu-like infections and may think that they will avoid coronavirus too, the reality is we are just more susceptible to some types of infection and more resilient to others. There’s no hierarchy to this and none of us is invincible to everything.”

Will taking vitamins help?
“When thinking about protecting themselves against infection, most people believe that taking vitamin C, in supplement form, will be helpful. It’s certainly true that vitamin C plays a key role in immunity and that a deficiency of it can lead to a higher susceptibility of a cold or virus.

“If you eat fruit and vegetables, vitamin C is practically unavoidable in the diet. Taking more — in doses of 1-2g daily — has not been proven to ward off infections, but it might be helpful in reducing the severity and duration of them.

Effervescent vitamin C and orange

“When we are ill our immune cells need almost double the amount of vitamin C they normally do to fight an infection, so consuming more of it could be beneficial in marginally reducing the length of time you are suffering by around 8 per cent in adults and 14 per cent in children, on average.

“If you do a lot of exercise, it’s worth taking as vitamin C appears to have stronger effects on people who train hard. In Finnish studies on marathon runners and skiers, vitamin C supplementation almost halved the duration of a cold, but had little effect on the sedentary participants.

“Do be aware that high intakes of vitamin C can cause gastrointestinal upset in some people and that, even if you do take it, it will not make you invincible.”

Will being fighting fit help?
“Physical activity is one of the best ways to prime and even rejuvenate immunity. A recent British study of male and female long-term cyclists aged 55 to 79 found that, when compared with those of twentysomething sedentary people, the older cyclists’ immune systems were far superior.

“Keeping your muscles active releases high levels of a specific chemical called interleukin 7 (IL-7) into the blood and that helps to prevent shrinking of a gland of great importance to immunity. The thymus gland, situated in front of the heart and behind the sternum, is responsible for producing new T cells, the master controllers of the immune system.

“It starts diminishing in size from our twenties, a process called thymus involution, but regular exercise halts this, keeping the thymus gland in healthy shape. Resistance training — lifting weights or your own body weight through press-ups, lunges and the like — is particularly beneficial in prompting the release of IL-7. But just moving throughout the day — getting up from your desk, walking at lunchtime — is more effective than sitting all day and doing a HIIT class after work.”

But shouldn’t I be avoiding the gym?
“Gyms tend to pack a lot of people into a confined space, probably not the best environment to seek out during the coronavirus pandemic. If you do go, take sensible precautions such as washing your hands often before and after a workout, wiping equipment with sanitisers and avoiding people who are sniffling or coughing. Your best bet is to exercise outdoors, running, walking or cycling alone or in small groups.

“If you usually train intensely, by all means keep it up. Your body and immunity adapt to training loads and it’s only if you increase your exercise steeply that it can start to suppress the immune system. Exercise is a form of stress to the body and will produce some immune dampening responses if you go at it too hard.

“It used to be thought that there was a window following prolonged endurance activity in which immunity was compromised as immune cells disappeared, making people more susceptible to infection. Science has since shown that this is not the case and that immune cells are just diverted to where they are needed most after hard workouts. But sensible precautions are recommended — don’t push too far or too hard and stay warm and dry when you finish.”

Is it OK to keep drinking alcohol?
“There are no benefits to drinking alcohol in terms of immunity and it may actually harm our defences. One reason for this is the effect it has on our sleep, which may be poorer in quality after a few glasses of wine. Since sleep disruption is known to raise the risk of catching a cold or the flu, it stands to reason that your susceptibility to any virus might be increased.

“Alcohol also affects the gut microbiome with hard spirits (including gin) particularly harmful when it comes to decreasing gut bacteria that benefit our immunity. A weekend of heavy drinking can affect the function of immune-regulating organs like the liver and explains why people tend to fall ill after partying. It’s best avoided at this time.”

Are zinc supplements worth a shot?
“Zinc is an essential mineral that’s needed by every cell in the body and is vital for normal development and function of cells that are involved in immunity. It’s not stored in our bodies, so a regular intake is vital — men need 5.5-6.5mg a day and women 4-7mg and you find it in a range of foods, including meat, milk, eggs, fish, chickpeas, baked beans, pumpkin seeds, dried figs and Brazil nuts.

“Whether it’s worth taking a supplement is debatable, but there is some evidence that zinc lozenges do help to prevent winter infections in children, and test-tube trials have shown that it seems to stop viruses getting into cells and improves the power of immune cells to fight infection, although there’s no confirmation they are helpful to adults in real-life circumstances. If you do take extra zinc, take a lozenge for the short term. Prolonged use of more than six weeks can cause an irritated digestive tract.”

Does eating organic food make a difference?
“Gut health is a big trend and your microbiota can have a powerful effect on your immunity. But too many people think that turning to probiotics or kefir is the way to go. What they should be doing is fertilising the gut bugs they already have with a diet rich in fibre and containing a diverse range of fruit, wholegrains and vegetables.

“A lot of soil microbes have been shown to help our immune system, so consuming fresh produce as soon after it has been picked as possible is the best bet. There’s some evidence that organic produce or that picked from an allotment, which might still have a bit of dirt on it, is superior for the microbiome. Ultimately, though, just increasing how many fruit and veg you eat is the best step you can take.”

Should I just stop worrying about coronavirus?
“Worrying definitely makes us more susceptible to infection, and stress has a known dampening effect on our immunity. I’ve been contacted by so many people in recent days who are concerned about the spread of the virus, and the best thing we can do is to take a step back and remove some of the pressure.

“We can’t make ourselves invincible, but we can reduce the effects of stress and in doing so raise our levels of protection. Carving time out of our day to change our routine slightly is essential at the moment. Small and regular practice of things like meditation can be really helpful, but so can walking outdoors, which introduces our brains to a wider vista and removes the focus on work and coronavirus. Try yoga, t’ai chi or reading — any steps that you find help to relax your mind.”

Will the threat of coronavirus improve with the weather?
“Weather and the climate could play a part in coronavirus, but the truth is we can’t be sure. We know that some viruses, influenza for example, prefer cooler climates and can survive longer on a cold surface, which is why it strikes more often in winter. Only time will tell if the threat of coronavirus eases as we move through the seasons.”

Will herd immunity help?
“The theory behind herd immunity, one of the strategies discussed by the government, is that a population becomes resistant to an infection because enough people have developed a resistance to it either through having the disease or because they’ve had a vaccination against it. It’s sort of a community immunity that makes it harder for something to spread.

“But we are nowhere near that point with coronavirus — it’s a brand new virus and nobody yet has immunity from it except perhaps those who have had it and survived. At the moment the only way not to get infected is to isolate yourself and distance yourself from people who may already have it.”

How do immunosuppressive drugs affect coronavirus?
“People taking this kind of medication for existing health problems are definitely more susceptible to contracting a virus because their immunity is compromised, although they would still need to come into contact with an infected person. So far, there aren’t many case studies to go on, but it could be that Covid-19 may look different and have different implications for someone taking immunosuppressive medication.

Since it is the immune system that produces symptoms of a virus like coughing and a fever, these people might not initially present with symptoms as severe as other people. But long-term there could be extra risk of complications from the virus if they are infected. Without a normal capacity to mount an immune response, it could mean the virus directly damages the delicate lung cells, something that is not reversible. The advice is to not stop taking medications unless instructed by your healthcare provider to do so, and if self-isolating to ensure you have plenty of your prescription.”

Can you get it and not know?
“One of the concerning things about coronavirus is that some people have tested positive having had no symptoms at all. They may be spreading the virus without realising it which is what makes it particularly scary.”

Immunity: The Science of Staying Well by Dr Jenna Macciochi (Thorsons, £14.99)

Cognitive (brain) health supplements market is mind-blowing strong

Maintaining cognitive health through food supplements

Cognitive health is a vital part of healthy living and quality of life. Cognition includes the ability to learn new things, intuition, judgment, language and remembering. Cognitive health has remained a major health issue globally. Over the years, people have employed the use of traditional herds and medicines which contains therapeutic compounds that help curb diseases and ailments ranging from headaches and migraines to more condition-specific disorders like Parkinson’s disease.

CoQ10 and omega-3 fatty acids are being used in human nutritional applications to support brain or cognitive health. Vitamin E, rosemary, ginseng and ginkgo biloba are used in maintaining general brain health. New cognitive health ingredients are also being introduced and gaining popularity.

Aging population and increasing prevalence of brain-related diseases such as Alzheimer’s disease are among the key factors that the growth of the cognitive health ingredients market. 

Dietary supplements dominate the global cognitive health market. Functional foods and beverages is still an emerging application for majority of these ingredients and offers immense future potential.

Active ingredients used in cognitive (brain) health

There are a lot of ingredients positioned for cognitive health, such as vitamins, minerals, CoQ10, omega-3 fatty acids, citicoline and botanical extracts. Majority of the cognitive health ingredients are also positioned for health benefits other than supporting brain health. For example, omega-3 ingredients are positioned both for cardiovascular and cognitive health. However, the positioning of omega-3 fatty acids for cognitive health is emerging due to manufacturers’ interests in catering to a different target audience. Both ginkgo biloba and ginseng extracts are primarily positioned as adaptogens (a unique group of herbal ingredients used to improve the health of  adrenal system, the system that is in charge of the body’s hormonal response to stress) to improve memory and concentration and decrease the symptoms of condition-specific mental disorders such as Parkinson’s disease. The cognitive health benefits of the major ingredients are summarized as follows:

  • CoQ10:
  • Improves brain function
  • Antioxidant property
  • Prevents migraine
  • Reduces the damage caused by Parkinson’s
    disease
  • Helps lower cholesterol
  • Helps reduce inflammation
  • Discourages atherosclerosis
  • Omega-3
  • Promotes heart health
  • Improves immunity
  • Enhances eye health
  • Improves cognitive health

CoQ10 and omega-3 are the most researched and clinically established health ingredients available for use in functional foods, functional beverage, and dietary supplement industries. EPA and DHA are the most important omega-3 fatty acids with strong scientific evidence supporting their health benefits. Omega-3 fatty acids have been associated with numerous health benefits. The cognitive health benefits have been accepted by consumers.   

Companies involved in cognitive (brain) health ingredient market

There are many companies involved in the cognitive health ingredient market. These include Naturex SA, Ocean Nutrition Canada, Martek Biosciences Corporation and Cargill. There is a high level of threat from product substitution in the cognitive health ingredient market. The increasing demand for health ingredients has resulted in a large number of ingredients competing for market share. The competition is keen in such segments such as fatty acids, vitamins and mineral supplements, antioxidants, botanicals and herbs.

Moreover, majority of the ingredients’ efficacy and safety, except a few, are backed by limited science. Additionally, consumers are confused by the offering of such ingredients in the market place.  

Despite these challenges, new companies are entering the cognitive health ingredient market. The global population is increasingly being affected by brain disorders such as dementia and Alzheimer’s disease. Continued research efforts have provided scientific backing to the benefits of cognitive health ingredients. These efforts have revealed numerous brain-related benefits of a single ingredient.      

The omega-3 ingredient market is continuously undergoing consolidation. One large acquisition exercise was made by DSM which acquired Martek Biosciences in 2010. The latter was the first company to commercialize DHA produced from sources other than fish oils.    

Global cognitive (brain) health ingredient market

According to a market research company, Sprout Intelligence, the cognitive (brain) health ingredient market was estimated to be US1,500 million in 2015. This market was growing at 7 per cent per year. .     

Food Supplements for heart health are big

Beta-glucan extracted from oat is main ingredient for heart health

In our recent consulting assignment, we conducted a market research on active ingredients used in the nutraceutical industry. In general, the nutracutical industry is segmented into digestive health, immune support, weight control, heart health, beauty from within (nutricosmetic), heart health and cognitive (brain) health.  

This article covers the active ingredients used for heart health. The following article will touch on active ingredients for cognitive (brain) health.   

Sales of heart health foods and beverages are rising rapidly. Unlike other health product such as digestive health, consumers of heart health products are not offered “instant” gratification, a visible result within a couple of months, but only a promise of a long-term health benefits. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), by 2030, almost 23.6 million people will die from cardiovascular diseases, mainly from heart disease and stroke, making heart health products a must-have and a key food and drink development area. It has taken years to build solid clinical basis for these ingredients and their ability to support heart health.   

Diet can have a considerable impact on heart health, as it is linked to diabetes, elevated blood pressure and elevated cholesterol levels, the major risk factors in developing cardiovascular diseases. There are three main factors in the expansion of the health and wellness sectors, and they are:

  1. Consumers are moving away from treatment
    to prevention.
  2. When supplementing their diets,
    consumers tend to favour food and drinks over pills or capsules.
  3. With increasing education about the role
    of functional ingredients, consumers more frequently build their diets around
    health conditions.   

The major movements towards nutraceuticals (including fortified/functional foods and beverages, and vitamins and dietary supplements), focuses on adding purportedly beneficial ingredients to a diet to achieve the specific health function claimed by the product. Nutraceuticals represent a key focal point for product innovation.    

The impact of diet on cardiovascular disease risks is shown in the table below.

Diabetes

Obesity is an important risk factor for the development of diabetes and cardiovascular disease. Weight management and reduced intakes of fat, sugar and carbohydrate foods offer easy solutions, which can lead to the maintenance of good heart health.   
Hypertension

The risk of elevated blood pressure and hypertension is determined by genetic background, as well as many different environmental factors, including nutrition. Excess weight, alcohol consumption, physical inactivity, stress and, in some individuals, a diet rich in salt may lead to increased blood pressure.     
Hypercholesterolaemia

Elevated blood cholesterol is strongly associated with cardiovascular disease risk, as it promotes plaque development in arteries, which leads to heart attack, stroke and peripheral vascular disease. Reducing dietary intake of saturated fats and cholesterol, and consumption of plant sterols, beta-glucans and other ingredients can help reduce cardiovascular disease risk by lowering blood levels of LDL cholesterol, the so-called “bad cholesterol”, linked to formation of plaques.          
Hyperhomocysteinaemia

Elevated blood levels of the amino acid homocysteine is also a known risk factor cardiovascular disease. Inadequate intakes of folic acid and/or vitamins B12 and B6 can lead to elevated homocysteine. Homocysteine is thought to increase cardiovascular risk by reducing blood vessel dilation and contributing to blood clot formation.         

Ingredients used in heart health

There are a number of nutritional ingredients positioned for heart health, which are listed below.  

Ingredient Heart health benefits Best fortified/functional source  
Plant sterols/stanols Average cholesterol reduction of 7-10%. Spreadable oils and fats, yoghurts
Omega-3 Reduction of blood pressure, lowering of triglycerides, Milk, infant formula, spreadable oils and fats, bread, yogurt.  
Beta-glucans Regular consumption of beta-glucans contributes to maintenance of normal blood cholesterol concentrations. Oat, barley
Dietary fibre Reduced risk of coronary heart disease. Bakery products and pasta
Peptides Blood pressure lowering in hypertensive individuals. Yoghurt
Squalene Can reduce cholesterol Bread and breakfast cereals 
Antioxidants Anti-inflammatory, beneficial to heart health.  Chocolate, tea, red wine and other sources. Palm fruit juice would be a new source. 
Soy protein Reported to reduce cholesterol by 3%. Food and drinks with soy protein.

Companies involved in heart health ingredient market

There are many companies involved in the heart health nutritional ingredient market. These include Naturex SA, Ocean Nutrition Canada, Martek Biosciences Corporation and Cargill. These manufacturers also produce ingredients which are also targeted at cognitive health market. There is a high level of threat from product substitution in the heart health ingredient market. The increasing demand for heart health ingredients has resulted in a large number of ingredients competing for market share. The competition is keen in such segments such as fatty acids, vitamins and mineral supplements, antioxidants, botanicals and herbs.

Moreover, majority of the ingredients’ efficacy and safety, except a few, are backed by limited science. Additionally, consumers are confused by the offering of such ingredients in the market place. The omega-3 ingredient market is continuously undergoing consolidation. One large acquisition exercise was made by DSM which acquired Martek Biosciences in 2010. The latter was the first company to commercialize DHA produced from sources other than fish oils.    

Ingredient market for heart health

According to market research company, Bekryl.com, the ingredient market for heart health was estimated to be US17,000 million in 2019. This market is growing at 7 per cent per year and forms the largest market for ingredient in the nutraceutical industry.  

Why the Mamak restaurants could become the refuelling stations for electric cars in Malaysia

A typical signage of a Malaysian Mamak restaurant

An article by James Hurley in the Times of UK on January 20th,  2020,  predicted that British pubs could become an important player in the electric car revolution. A company, Engenie, is installing 400 chargers at 200 of Marstone ‘s sites, a listed brewer and pub chain. This is the first tie-up in its industry to announce the installation of rapid charging stations for electric vehicles across its estate.

The CEO of Enegenie, Ian Johnston, said the tie-up is an example of how there could be unexpected winners as electric vehicle adoption picks up.

“Rapid” in this context means 80 miles of charge to vehicles in 20 to 30 minutes, which, of course, is considerably longer than it takes to fill-up a car tank at a petrol station. Mr Johnston believes that rather than hanging around on a forecourt, drivers of electric cars will be more inclined to shop or to get a meal or a coffee while they charge, meaning that retail and hospitality companies have an opportunity to draw in customers and to get existing ones to visit more often.

“There is a change of behaviour required,” he said. “We think rapid charging will mean people will sit down, check their emails, have a meal. Other pub chains are looking at now. They understand where this market is heading.” Engenie intends to install more than 2,000 rapid charging points across the UK at sites such as retail parks, restaurants, supermarkets and pubs.

On average rapid charge costs £6 to £8, or about 9p per mile. As well as offering a profit share from charging revenues, the company pays for the infrastructure, installation and runs the service, in return for being able to access its partners’ land and customers.

However, if retail and hospitality industries want to exploit the rise of the electric car, first-mover advantage might be critical. “The grid is the biggest hurdle to deploying chargers across the UK,” Mr Johnston said. While slow chargers, such as the free ones available outside hundreds of Tesco stores, can be plugged into the store’s electricity supply, rapid chargers require their own electrical infrastructure.

Once a pub, for instance, has a rapid charger, a rival down the road would likely be priced out because of the resulting demands being placed on the grid. “Once that power is gone, the next person will need an electricity sub-station. “ That would cost about £100,000 and would require a 100-year lease from the UK Power Networks. “If you have got KFC, McDonald’s and Burger King on a road, one will have the charger in, the other two can’t.”

Mamak restaurants in Malaysia  

Mamak means Indian Muslims. Mamak restaurants, which are numerous in Malaysia, offer a 24-hours dining, from breakfast, lunches, dinners and suppers. The foods they serve are cheap, such as “roti chanai”, Mamak mee, nasi kandar and tandoori chicken. At a minimum, you can have a stretched tea and “roti chanai” costing about RM2.00 (40p) .

Inside a Mamak restaurant

These restaurants could become the new refuelling stations for electric cars in the future, while having stretched tea and eating a curry fried chicken. Today, most Mamak restaurants offer free WIFI and free British football matches. Why not a free fast or reduced fast charging for electric cars?

Energy research: Fusion breakthrough announced

Tokamak fusion reactor

Two small companies believe that they are on the verge of a breakthrough that had eluded scientists for decades according to Clive Cookson in an article in Financial Times, dated December 29th, 2019.

This fusion breakthrough would deliver clean and cheap energy by harnessing the nuclear fusion reaction that powers the sun. The two companies use different approaches to generate the fusion reaction.

The failure of sustained attempts to develop fusion power since the 1950’s has not deterred investors from backing scientists at Tokamak Energy and First Light Fusion, two private laboratories based in Oxfordshire, England.

Investors have injected £50 million into Tokamak Energy and £25 million into First Light Fusion. They are seeking to deliver a working reactor ready for commercialization by 2030.

This would be 10 years earlier than the UK Atomic Energy Authority, which runs the state-funded programme. Back in the 1950’s, the UKAEA built  the Zeta fusion reactor, which was hailed at the time as a British technological achievement. It closed in 1968 having failed to produce any useful energy.

The UKAEA is working on a new generation of fusion reactors based on the “tokamak” design that originated in the Soviet Union in the 1050’s. This reaction vessel holds the fuel—a plasma of super-heated deuterium and tritium –in place with powerful magnets while raising its temperature above 100mC so that atomic nuclei fuse and release vast amounts of energy.

The UKAEA is working on the design for its next-generation Spherical Tokamak for Energy Production reactor, known as Step, for which the British government has announced £220 million of public investment.

“The Step reactor will be an innovative plan for a commercially-driven fusion power station, offering the realistic prospect of constructing by 2024,” said Ian Chapman, UKAEA chief executive.      

The two private companies have even more ambitious schedules.

“We are on course for 100mC, the temperature at which fusion could begin by next March, 2020,“ said David Kingham, executive vice-chairman of Tokamak Energy. Its target is to generate fusion power by 2025 and have a commercial plant by 2030.

First Light Fusion, spun out of Oxford University eight  years ago, is pioneering a different approach. Instead of the reactants within a strong magnetic field and super-heating them, it aims to achieve the extreme conditions required to initiate fusion by firing a large number of small copper projectiles simultaneously at hypersonic speed into a tiny capsule containing the deuterium and tritium fuel.

First Light Fusion’s pulsed fusion reactor

“While magnetic fusion is like a furnace that is always on, our projectile fusion is a pulsed process that transfers energy from each shot into liquid lithium coolant, ” said Nick Hawker, First Light chief executive.

He said the company expected to demonstrate in early 2020 that the system achieves fusion and aim for “gain”, which is when the reactor generates more energy than is used to spark the reaction, by 2024.           

“We understand that government labs need to be more cautious in their schedules,” said Mr Kingham. “We envisage having a 150MW device that we can license to people who are good at building power plants.”

First Light is already working with the engineering company Mott MacDonald on a commercial reactor design, with the aim of having a fusion plant powering the grid by the early 2030s. “I am very supportive of the private fusion companies and UKAEA is committed to working with them to help develop their technology,” said Mr Chapman. “The promise of fusion is so huge that there will always be a place for innovation in design.”

Meanwhile, the UKAEA continues to manage the country’s involvement in big international fusion projects. At Culham, England,  it hosts the Joint European Torus or JET, the world’s largest and most powerful tokamak reactor and the focus of the EU’s fusion research programme. JET has been operating since 1983.

A highlight came in 1997 when it was fuelled with a deuterium-tritium reaction mixture and achieved a world record for fusion power of 16 megawatts in 1997, though this was less than the energy put in to heat up the plasma. In recent years, experiments at JET have assisted the design and construction of ITER, a large-scale fusion machine with a reaction vessel 10 metres high (compared with 4.3 metres for JET) which is being built by a global consortium of governments in southern France.

Beset with delays and cost overruns — the current estimate is US$22 billion— ITER is now set to start operating in 2025. The schedule calls for JET to operate at least until 2024, including more runs with deuterium-tritium fuel, though this programme will depend on the UK’s post-Brexit relationship with the EU and Euratom. Although no one knows exactly when commercial fusion power will arrive — and in what form — Mr Chapman expressed total confidence in its eventual arrival. “We will have fusion,” he said, “and Oxfordshire will be closely involved in making it happen.”

Chinese scientists say they have completed construction of a nuclear fusion reactor that will take them on the mammoth pursuit of a virtually unlimited source of power.

The machine, based at the Southwestern Institute of Physics in Chengdu, the capital city of southwest China’s Sichuan province, will become operational in 2020.

China is among several states working on projects to achieve nuclear fusion, the atomic reaction that takes place in the sun and in hydrogen bombs.

The Chinese device consists of a doughnut-shaped chamber called a tokamak, which is similar to the EU-funded Joint European Torus in the UK.

The potential prize is an invaluable contribution to reducing planet-warming emissions. Fusion reactions release no carbon dioxide. Their fuel, derived from water, is abundant.

Experiments in China’s reactor will provide a dress rehearsal for work on ITER.

The Chinese are one of seven main partners – alongside the EU, Japan, Russia, the US, India and South Korea – in ITER, the world’s most expensive international science project, at £15.5 billion.

All partners have agreed to contribute pieces of the reactor, with the central ITER organisation responsible for coordinating construction. The EU owns 45 per cent of the project and the other partners nine per cent each.

ITER promises to produce net fusion power sometime after 2035.

Out-of-the-box: Volkswagen’s battery charging robots

Volkswagen battery charging robot, courtesy of Volkswagen

Electric car charging stations remain a major hurdle for electric vehicle (EV) adoption, but maybe, just maybe, robots could help overcome that.

Volkswagen (VW) last week revealed its concept for a totally autonomous EV charging robot. Essentially, this little robot wanders around parking garages, parking lots and the like and brings a mobile charging pack, called the “battery wagon,” to electric cars as needed.

When a robot detects that a vehicle is in range and with a low battery, it will tow a storage device next to the car, open the socket flap, connect the plug and leave the device next to the car while it charges before returning to a central station.

The robot doesn’t hang around. VW said the machine leaves the charging device with the EV and the robot heads out to find other cars that need battery juicing.

The totally autonomous machine features cameras, sensors and lasers to meander its way around parking lots. With its capabilities, VW said it can carry multiple battery wagons at once. Each of them houses 25 kWh worth of energy each. DC fast charging allows the cars to receive up to 50 kW.

Depending on the size of the garage or lot, an operator could deploy a handful of these robots to motor around and charge cars as needed. It’s a pretty wonderful solution to charging infrastructure needs — especially in large cities. Robots and their battery wagons would forego the need to build physical (and stationary) charging stations.

Of course, the robots would need to take the battery wagons somewhere to charge them, too. However, if they can couple and decouple from an EV’s charging port, they can surely perform manoeuvres needed to charge the battery wagons.

Mark Moller, head of development at VW Group components, said; “The mobile charging robot will start a revolution… as we bring the charging infrastructure the car and not the other way around. We are making almost every car park electric, without any complex infrastructure measures.”

Our Conclusion

We think this is a good solution to the worries about the shortage of public charging points. We believe this battery charging robot will lead to a number of business ventures, such as mobile charging in public places and roaming charging robots delivering battery juicing at residential areas. Car washing facility can also offer battery juicing for EV while it is being washed.

This could mean the ubiquitous petrol stations would be replaced much faster.  

World Economic League Table with forecast for 193 countries for 2034

India had overtaken France and UK to become the fifth largest economy in 2019. It will rank fourth in 2026.

The decade of 2020 will be in days. According to Centre for Economic and Business Research, by the end of the decade of 2020, there will be significant changes in the World Economic League Table.

In its 2020 World Economic League Table 2020 report, the highlights are as follows:

• The USA in 2019 reached 24.8% of world GDP, its largest share of the world economy since 2007. And the US is now expected to remain the world’s largest economy throughout the 2020s and is to be overtaken by China only in 2033, three years later than we forecast two years ago.


• We do not expect China to go into recession in 2020 and, although Chinese growth will slow as a result of demographics and greater concentration on quality of life, we expect China to become the world’s largest economy in 2033.


• India has decisively overtaken both France and the UK to become the world’s fifth largest economy in 2019. It is expected to overtake Germany to become fourth largest in 2026 and Japan to become the third largest in 2034. India is also set to reach a GDP of $5 trillion by 2026 – 2 years later than the current government target.


• The latest revised data suggests that despite Brexit, the French economy failed to overtake the UK economy in the 2016-19 period. We now expect that by 2034 the UK economy will be a quarter larger than the French economy.


• Two ‘Western’ economies with particular success in attracting skilled migrants, Canada and Australia, should continue to rise in the rankings. By 2034 Canada is predicted to be the 8th largest economy and Australia the 13th largest.


• Because of its success in diversifying into tech, Russia is expected to do far better than any other energy dependent economy in a world of weak oil prices, falling only one place from 11th to 12th by 2034.


• Korea is set to become one of the world’s top ten economies in 2027.


• Indonesia is set to be on the verge of entering the group of the world’s top ten economies by 2034, reaching 11th place in the table.


• Three rapidly growing Asian economies are the fastest risers in the table amongst the larger economies. The Philippines rises from 38th place in 2019 to 22nd place in 2034; Bangladesh from 41st to 26th and Malaysia from 35th to 28th.

Malaysia will rank 28th largest in 2034 from 35th in 2019


• Poland enters the world’s top 20 economies in 2031, reaching 19th place.


• Weakening oil prices through the 2020s will push Saudi Arabia out of the world’s 20 largest economies by 2028, eventually sinking to 21st in the rankings by 2034.

The latest edition of the World Economic League Table, the WELT 2020, is produced by international economic forecasters, the London-based Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr) at a time of significant change in the world order and increasing global economic uncertainty. It is Cebr’s 11th annual world economic outlook report.


This edition of the World Economic League Table (WELT) shows some interesting moves as the world’s richest powers jockey for position.


The WELT tracks the size of different economies across the globe and projects changes over the next 15 years, up to 2034.


The past year, 2019, has been a bad year for the world economy with the weakest GDP growth since the recession year of 2009. But the clouds started to lift towards the end of the year and we predict that expansionary fiscal and monetary policy around the world will cause growth to accelerate in 2020.


In 2019, any lingering ‘feel-good factor’ from the upswing of the global economy in 2017 has largely dispersed and has been replaced by renewed volatility and uncertainty. Trade tensions have come to the fore with the US and China imposing substantial tariffs on each other’s export sectors.


Perhaps the most unexpected element in this report is the ongoing strength of the US economy, though we expect that 2019 will prove the high water mark as the problems of the trade war and the deficit impinge. But in 2011 the US economy was 21.2% of world GDP. In 2019 its share had risen to 24.8%, its highest share since 2007. And it is now forecast to remain the world’s largest economy throughout the 2020s, only being overtaken by China in 2033.


China, on the other hand, has had a particularly difficult 2019 with growth slowing and Beijing property prices falling. At the end of the year, however, growth seems to have started to recover and the prospects for 2020 are improving. Where China has been particularly successful is in reorienting policy – its success in virtually abolishing extreme poverty over the past two decades deserves to be applauded while the focus of policy has now shifted onto improved environmental performance. We still expect China to become the world’s largest economy in 2033.


Indian data revisions mean that 2019 was the year when the country’s economy finally overtook the UK and France (as predicted in WELT 2019). But slow growth during the year has increased pressure for more radical economic reforms. Our prediction that India will overtake Germany and then Japan to become the world’s third largest economy in 2034 assumes success in implementing such reforms.


In Europe, revised data means that even after the sharp fall in sterling after the Brexit referendum, the United Kingdom just managed to stay ahead of France. We now predict that by 2034 the UK economy will be a quarter larger than the French economy.


One of the persistent themes of this report is that countries that are successful in attracting skilled migrants tend to grow faster. And reflecting this, Canada and Australia, which are two of the most successful countries at attracting inward migration, are predicted to rise in the rankings, Canada to 8th and Australia to 13th by 2034.


We have had a chance this year to conduct an in-depth study of the prospects for the Russian economy. Our conclusion is that they are having some success in diversifying from energy to tech and as a result, despite our prediction of weak oil prices in the late 2020s and 2030s, we expect Russia only to drop one place in the rankings to 12th by 2034.


Poland is expected to join the ranks of the world’s top 20 economies, reaching 19th position in 2031.

In the long run, many Asian economies will rise through the ranks of the WELT as these countries cash in on their demographic dividends. The two most prominent examples are the Philippines, which will enter the top 25 largest economies reaching 22nd place in 2034, and Bangladesh, which will rise to 25th.


Cebr Deputy Chairman Douglas McWilliams said: “The World Economic League Table 2020 tracks relative economic progress. The biggest surprise is how well the US economy has managed to do, reaching its highest share of world GDP for 12 years. Though our view is that it has reached its high water mark and moving forward the deficit and its trade disputes will start to hold it back. Still, this is a remarkable performance for an old world economy. ”
“The battle for the top spots in the WELT league table remains fiercely contested,” said Kay Daniel Neufeld, Head of Macroeconomics at Cebr. He added: “In December, the US and China agreed on a de-escalation in trade tensions between the two economic juggernauts.

Whether the conflict, which has been weighing heavily on global growth, can be entirely solved in 2020 remains to be seen. We expect growth in China to slow further throughout the year as the country manages not only the fallout from the trade war but also its transition towards a consumption-driven economy offering a higher standard of living. This has delayed its ascent to the top spot in the league table until 2033. Meanwhile, Japan, Germany and India will battle for third position over the next 15 years.”


“Despite the rapid ascent of countries such as India and Indonesia, it is striking how little an impact this will have on the US and China’s dominant roles in the global economy. Indeed, their share of world GDP is forecast to rise to 42% by 2034. The 2020s are set to be a decade marked by continued tensions between the US and China on multiple fronts ranging from trade to tech, which will cast a long shadow over the rest of the global economy.” said Pablo Shah, Senior Economist at Cebr.

Note:

The World Economic League Table (WELT) is an annual calculation by Cebr jointly published by Cebr and Global Construction Perspectives. The base data for 2019 is taken from the IMF World Economic Outlook and the GDP forecast draws on Cebr’s Global Prospects model to forecast growth, inflation and exchange rates.

Cebr is a leading independent commercial economics consultancy based in London. The report has been produced by the Cebr team of economists led by Cebr’s Deputy Chairman, Douglas McWilliams.

Foods for Vegans and Pescetarians to stay healthy

Chickpeas with curry leaf: a traditional source of protein in Malaysia, often sold at a local night market

For a year now, I and my wife had not visited fast food outlets and steakhouses in my town, Seremban, Negeri Sembilan Malaysia. I eat also a lot noodle-based dishes, such as Mee Kari and Mee Laksa, two popular Malaysian dishes. I ask for the ingredients to contain lots of vegetables and fishballs. I also consume more fruits such as banana and dragon fruits. My local pharmacist also suggests taking supplements containing zinc and iron.  

An article in Times 2 of the Times London on November 25th, 2019, caught my attention. It reported that more Britons are taking meat off the weekly menu. According to a YouGov poll, one in four people in the UK planned to eat less meat throughout 2019, while the annual Waitrose Food and Drink Report reckoned that a third of Britons have dabbled in meat reduction, some having removed it from their diet for health, environmental and cost reasons. Last week David Attenborough told The Times he too was cutting down. “I can’t remember when I last had a piece of red meat,” he said.

The health benefits are many. Government guidelines, which were updated last year, say people should “on average eat no more than 70g red and processed meat a day” and the risk of bowel cancer is known. Cutting down, though, needs careful planning. Just how easy is it to replace meat and not miss out on the nutrients it provides? The articles noted some expert advice.

IRON
How much we need Men — 8.7mg daily; women age 11-50 — 14.8mg; women age 50+ — 8.7mg daily
Amount in 100g red meat 2.7mg

There are two types of iron in food: haem and non-haem iron. Haem iron is only found in meat, chicken and fish, and is easily absorbed. Non-haem iron is also found in plant foods, such as vegetables, cereals, beans and lentils, but is not absorbed as well by the body. As a building block for haemoglobin, iron is responsible for ferrying oxygen round the body and supplying energy. It plays a role in many metabolic processes including breathing, DNA synthesis and immune function. In the diet, the best and most easily absorbed form is the haem iron found in meat, offal, clams and oysters. Non-haem iron, found in eggs, bread, beans, pulses, leafy green vegetables and seeds, is in a form that is more difficult for the body to absorb. Some substances in plant foods, such as oxalic acid, also inhibit the absorption of iron, and for that reason it is important to get it from a variety of sources if you are cutting down on meat. “There are studies showing that our bodies do get better at absorbing non-haem iron from plant sources over time,” Dr Megan Rossi, a research fellow in nutrition at King’s College London, says. “There’s also some emerging research showing that our bodies somehow extract a little more iron from plant foods if our stores are low, although we don’t yet know how this works.”

Offset it by eating
100g of cooked kidney beans (2mg iron), baked beans in tomato sauce (1.4mg) or chickpeas (2mg) are all good plant sources of iron. A handful (30g) each of dried figs provide about 1.1mg iron, dried apricots (1mg) and almonds (0.9mg) will add to your daily tally as will a tablespoon of sesame seeds (1.6mg) or a tablespoon of sunflower seeds (1mg iron). Boiled or steamed broccoli (1mg iron per 100g) is a good choice, although spinach (with 1.6mg iron per 100g) “has a relatively poor level of bio-availability due to its high levels of oxalic acid, which binds with iron and blocks its absorption in the gut”, says Nichola Ludlam-Raine, a dietician and spokeswoman for the British Dietetic Association. Vitamin C helps to increase the absorption of non-haem iron, “which means it’s essential to eat a piece of fruit or have some vegetables alongside a plant-based source of iron”, she says.

VITAMIN B12
How much we need 1.5mcg daily
Amount in 100g red meat 3mcg

Vitamin B12 is important for healthy blood and nerve function, and works with folate to synthesise our DNA. It also helps to break down protein and fat so that our bodies can use them for energy. It’s the nutrient of most concern for people cutting out meat products because it is not found naturally in fruit, vegetables and grains, so anyone reducing their meat intake risks not getting enough of it. “People following a full vegan diet would need to make sure they obtain their daily vitamin B12 requirement through fortified products such as milk alternative or nutrition yeast or take a separate dietary supplement,” Ludlam-Raine says.

Offset it by eating
Dairy products contain it — a glass of milk provides 1.24mcg, and a slice of cheese (20g) 0.4mcg, a pot of yoghurt 1mcg and an egg 0.6mcg of vitamin B12. Fortified yeast extracts, soya milk and breakfast cereals also provide varying amounts. Tempeh, made from fermented soya beans, and mushrooms are sometimes reported to contain B12, but there’s no firm evidence that they are a reliable source.

PROTEIN
How much we need 0.75g of protein per kg bodyweight a day (or approximately 50g for most adults) as a minimum to prevent muscle wastage; those following more active lifestyles are likely to require more than 1g of protein per kg of bodyweight a day.
Amount in 100g red meat 34g

Animal protein provides the essential amino acids needed by the body to produce muscle and other tissue, hormones, neurotransmitters and the cells and antibodies that boost the immune system. Vegetable protein sources don’t have all of these essential amino acids, but you can obtain them as long as you eat a variety of foods in combination. “It’s not an exact science and what matters is that you’re eating a variety of different sources over an entire day and week as opposed to obsessing about the protein content of each meal,” Ludlam-Raine says. Good sources of plant protein include nuts, seeds, pulses, mycoprotein and soya products and there are smaller amounts in grains.

Offset it by eating
Fish and seafood are the next best protein providers after meat — canned tuna provides 23.5g, salmon 24.2g and prawns 22.6g — and, if eaten with a single boiled egg, which provides 13g, would match the amount in meat. Dairy foods are also a good supplier, but soya milk contains about the same amount of protein as cow’s with 8g in a 250ml glass. If plants are to be your main source of protein, it’s important to eat a combination of different sources (including cereals and pulses) so that you get all of the amino acids you need. Half a can of baked beans (9.7g protein) served with 2 slices of wholemeal toast (5g protein) plus 5 tablespoons quinoa (8g protein), a handful of walnuts or hazelnuts (8g protein) and a 150g pot of soya yoghurt (7g protein) would match your meat serving.

ZINC
How much we need Men — 9.5mg; Women — 7mg a day
Amount in 100g red meat 8.2mg

Zinc is needed by the body to function well and is needed for the formation of new cells and enzymes throughout the body. It is vital for a healthy immune system and for fertility, but also important for healing wounds.

Offset it by eating
Oysters are the richest source of zinc with 48.3mg in a 100g serving, but we don’t eat many oysters and meat provides about a third of our total intake of the mineral. There’s less zinc in plant foods, with beans such lentils, red kidney beans and chickpeas providing about 1mg per 100g, but legumes also contain phytates, compounds that can inhibit its absorption. To offset the shortfall you would need to get zinc from different sources, such as a serving of red kidney beans (1mg), a jacket potato or baked sweet potato (1mg), 2 slices of wholemeal bread (0.9mg) and a 100g bar of 70-85 per cent dark chocolate, which contains 3.3mg. Three tablespoons of mixed nuts or seeds daily will provide up to 2.5mg zinc, so add to your cereals and salads.

VITAMIN B3 (NIACIN)
How much we need Men age 19-50 — 17mg a day and age 50+ — 16mg; Women age 19-50 — 13mg and age 50+ — 12mg
Amount in 100g red meat 4.6mg

Like the other B vitamins, niacin helps the body to release energy from the food that we eat in addition to keeping the nervous system and skin healthy.

Offset it by eating
One 165g can of tuna provides 21.9mg of niacin and in a cooked 85g salmon fillet you will get about 7mg. About ten anchovies provide half the amount of B3 you need each day, so add them to salads or eat as a snack. Two tablespoons of peanut butter provides 4.3mg of niacin and a medium avocado 3.5mg.

SELENIUM How much we need 75mcg for men and 60mcg for women
Amount in 100g red meat 10mcg

According to the SACN (Scientific Advisory Committee on Nutrition), “selenium is essential for a wide range of biochemical functions within the body”. Its presence in food depends on how much selenium there is in soil and it varies significantly in different parts of Europe.

Offset it by eating
Brazil nuts are among the richest sources of selenium, providing 254mcg per 100g, so a handful would give you 63mcg. An egg provides 27mcg selenium and 100g of canned tuna in sunflower oil 87mcg. You will also find selenium in soya beans (14mcg per 100g), cod and haddock (30mcg per 100g) and cheese — parmesan contains 12mcg per 100g and stilton 8mcg. A medium slice of brown bread provides 1.5mcg of selenium and a medium slice of white bread provides 1.9mcg. White flour provides 3mcg of selenium per 100g.